Stock Market Today: Markets Edge Higher Amid Trade Tensions and Key Economic Data

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Major Indexes Continue Positive Momentum Despite Trade Concerns

The major U.S. stock indexes are trading modestly higher in Tuesday’s midday session as investors navigate ongoing trade tensions while awaiting key economic data later this week. The S&P 500 is up 0.32% at 5,955.09, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 0.12% to 42,356.62, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite is showing stronger performance with a 0.70% increase to 19,378.23.

Today’s market movements come after a strong start to June, with all three major indexes posting solid gains on Monday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both coming off their best monthly performances since November 2023, reflecting investor optimism despite looming trade concerns.

Trade Tensions Remain in Focus

Trade relations between the United States and its global partners continue to dominate market sentiment. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are scheduled to speak this week following Trump’s accusations that China violated a temporary trade agreement. The White House has indicated that the administration wants countries to provide their best trade offers by Wednesday as officials seek to accelerate negotiations ahead of a self-imposed deadline in just five weeks.

Meanwhile, tensions with the European Union have escalated after Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50% starting Wednesday. The EU has criticized the move, stating that it “undermines” ongoing trade negotiations.

Despite these concerns, the market appears to be taking a measured approach, with the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) down 1.58% to 18.07, indicating reduced fear among investors.

Economic Outlook and Upcoming Data

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has revised its global growth forecast down to 2.9% for 2025 from the previously expected 3.1%, citing the effects of Trump’s trade policies on the U.S. economy. However, Deutsche Bank has taken a more optimistic view, raising its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 6,550 from 6,150, pointing to lower tariff-related pressure on earnings and a resilient economy.

Investors are closely watching several key economic reports due this week. April factory orders and JOLTS job openings data are scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. ET today. Later in the week, the highly anticipated monthly jobs report will provide further insights into the health of the labor market amid trade uncertainties. Additionally, global PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services sectors will be released throughout the week.

Notable Stock Movers

Several individual stocks are making significant moves in today’s session:

– Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is the day’s top gainer, surging 26.07% to $78.98.
– Dollar General Corporation (DG) has jumped 13.29% to $110.00 after raising its annual sales forecast following better-than-expected quarterly results.
– Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is up 1.66% to $318.64 after announcing a power agreement with Meta Platforms (META).
– NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) continues its strong performance, rising 3.27% to $141.88, making it one of the most actively traded stocks today.
– On the downside, Pony AI Inc. (PONY) leads the losers with a 17.65% drop to $14.37.

Upcoming Earnings Reports

Several notable companies are scheduled to report earnings this week, potentially influencing market direction:

– CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) will report after market close today.
– MongoDB (MDB) is expected to report tomorrow.
– Broadcom (AVGO), Docusign (DOCU), and Lululemon Athletica (LULU) will report on Thursday after market close.
– GameStop (GME) is estimated to report on Friday.

Central Bank Decisions

Central bank watchers will be monitoring key decisions this week. The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to cut interest rates at its June meeting, which would mark its eighth reduction as policymakers respond to a weakening growth and inflation outlook amid tariff-related uncertainty. The Bank of Canada will also convene for its June meeting, though markets are less convinced about an immediate rate cut due to ongoing inflation challenges.

Market Outlook

As we move further into June, market participants appear cautiously optimistic despite the ongoing trade tensions. The strong performance in May has provided a solid foundation, but investors remain vigilant about potential volatility stemming from trade negotiations and upcoming economic data.

With the S&P 500 less than 4% away from its record highs touched in February, market analysts are divided on the near-term outlook. While some point to resilient corporate earnings and economic data as reasons for optimism, others caution that trade uncertainties could weigh on growth prospects in the coming months.

As one market analyst noted, “Market sentiment cannot find an anchor since trade policies remain fluid.” This sentiment aptly captures the current environment where investors must balance positive economic indicators against geopolitical uncertainties.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not financial professionals. The authors and/or site operators may hold positions in the companies or assets mentioned. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.