Stock Market Today: Futures Rise as Investors Await Fed Decision and U.S.-China Trade Talks

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Market Indexes Point Higher on Trade Talk Optimism

The stock market is showing signs of recovery on Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with futures pointing to a higher open as investors await the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and monitor developments in U.S.-China trade relations. As of early morning trading, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 196 points (0.48%), S&P 500 futures have gained 0.49%, and Nasdaq 100 futures are rallying approximately 0.5%.

This positive momentum comes after two consecutive days of losses. On Tuesday, the Dow lost nearly 390 points (1%), while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid about 0.8% and 0.9% respectively. The market’s upward movement today is largely attributed to news that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and top trade official Jamieson Greer will meet with their Chinese counterparts this weekend in Switzerland, potentially easing tensions following President Trump’s tariff announcements last month.

All Eyes on the Federal Reserve Decision

Today’s most anticipated market event is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, scheduled for 2 p.m. ET, followed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. Market participants overwhelmingly expect the Fed to maintain rates at the current 4.25% to 4.5% range, with CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showing a 97% probability of no change.

Investors will be closely monitoring Powell’s comments for insights into the Fed’s outlook on inflation, economic growth, and the potential impact of Trump’s tariff policies. The meeting comes amid heightened tensions between the White House and the Fed, with President Trump having recently criticized Powell, calling him a “total stiff” and a “major loser” while demanding lower rates.

Major Stock Movements and Corporate News

In the technology sector, several key stocks are making headlines. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) jumped nearly 2% in pre-market trading following stronger-than-expected earnings, while electric vehicle maker Rivian (RIVN) ticked almost 2% lower after slashing its 2025 delivery target.

Other tech giants have shown mixed performance recently. Microsoft (MSFT) delivered exceptional revenue growth in its latest earnings report, with strong margins across its core software business and cloud services. The company’s AI investments continue to pay off across its product suite.

Tesla (TSLA), which had been one of the worst-performing components in the S&P 500 earlier this year, has seen a recent rally following news that CEO Elon Musk would focus more on the company. Investors appear willing to look past slowing growth in favor of opportunities in lower-cost models and self-driving robotaxis.

Nvidia (NVDA), a key player in the AI chip market, has been volatile recently but was down more than 1% in yesterday’s trading. Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) showed slight gains yesterday despite the broader market decline.

International Markets and Commodities

Asian markets mostly climbed overnight, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index jumping over 2% after China’s central bank announced sweeping plans to cut key interest rates. The People’s Bank of China reduced its seven-day reverse repurchase rate to 1.4% from 1.5% and announced a cut to the reserve requirement ratio, releasing about 1 trillion yuan ($139 billion) in liquidity.

In the commodities market, gold continues its upward trajectory, with futures recently up 2.5% at $3,405 an ounce. Meanwhile, oil prices have been sliding, with West Texas Intermediate futures trading around their lowest levels since early 2021 after OPEC+ agreed to boost output.

Looking Ahead: Key Events to Watch

Beyond today’s Fed decision, investors should keep an eye on upcoming earnings reports from major companies including Disney, Carvana, and Uber. The market will also be closely monitoring developments from the U.S.-China trade talks scheduled for this weekend, which could significantly impact market sentiment in the coming days.

With ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies and their potential impact on inflation and economic growth, market volatility may continue as investors digest new information and adjust their expectations accordingly.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not financial professionals. The authors and/or site operators may hold positions in the companies or assets mentioned. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.