Market Recap: Stocks Struggle as Economic Concerns Persist

Major Indexes Continue Downward Trend

On Tuesday, March 11, 2025, the U.S. stock market continued its downward trajectory, reflecting ongoing concerns about economic growth and corporate performance. The S&P 500, a broad measure of stock market performance, declined 0.3%, bringing its year-to-date losses to approximately 5%. This significant pullback has erased all gains accrued since the previous November.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by about 150 points, or 0.4%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.2%. These declines underscore the broader market sentiment, with investors increasingly cautious about the economic outlook.

Airline Industry Sounds Alarm on Consumer Demand

A major contributor to today’s market weakness came from the airline sector. Three major carriers issued warnings about softening consumer demand, compounding existing concerns in the wake of a recent mid-air incident involving an American Airlines flight.

American Airlines (AAL) reported that its revenue environment has been weaker than expected, citing the impact of Flight 5342 and softness in the domestic leisure segment. Similarly, Delta Air Lines (DAL) noted that its revenues were being affected by reduced consumer and corporate confidence due to increased macroeconomic uncertainty. Southwest Airlines (LUV) also slashed its earnings guidance for the remainder of the year.

These announcements led to significant declines in airline stocks, with American Airlines, Delta, and Southwest experiencing drops of 6.8%, 11.5%, and 7.8% respectively.

Wall Street Firms Downgrade U.S. Stocks

Adding to the bearish sentiment, several major Wall Street firms have recently downgraded their outlook on U.S. stocks. Citigroup analysts lowered their rating of U.S. stocks from “overweight” to “neutral,” citing a pause in the exceptional financial performance of U.S. firms amid weaker jobs growth and a short-term loss of momentum in artificial intelligence investments.

This move followed a similar downgrade by HSBC, indicating a growing consensus among financial institutions about the challenges facing the U.S. equity market. Barclays analysts also issued new guidance, stating that “The U.S. economy is clearly softening, despite an OK jobs report … US equities have de-rated quickly, but don’t depend on a ‘Trump Put’ yet.”

Small Business Optimism Declines

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported a decline in its monthly small-business optimism survey for February. While the index remained above its 51-year average for the fourth consecutive month, the decrease reflects growing uncertainty among small business owners.

NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg noted, “Uncertainty is high and rising on Main Street, and for many reasons. Those small business owners expecting better business conditions in the next six months dropped and the percent viewing the current period as a good time to expand fell, but remains well above where it was in the fall. Inflation remains a major problem, ranked second behind the top problem, labor quality.”

Tech Stocks Show Mixed Performance

Despite the overall market decline, some tech giants showed resilience. Nvidia (NVDA) added 1.6% in pre-market trading, while Meta (META) and Amazon (AMZN) edged up 0.7% and 0.4% respectively. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded 4.7% after falling 15.4% in the previous session.

Upcoming Market Events

Investors are closely watching several key events that could impact market direction:

1. President Trump’s meeting with the Business Roundtable, where he may provide guidance on tariffs and economic policy objectives.

2. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer inflation report for February, due on Wednesday. This data could significantly influence market sentiment and Federal Reserve policy decisions.

3. Ongoing discussions in Congress regarding a funding bill to avert a partial federal government shutdown.

As the market continues to grapple with economic uncertainties and shifting investor sentiment, these upcoming events and reports will be crucial in determining the short-term direction of U.S. equities. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility in the coming days.

Ed Liston

Ed Liston is a senior contributing editor at TheStockMarketWatch.com. An active market watcher and investor, Ed guides an independent team of experienced analysts and writes for multiple stock trader publications. He is widely quoted in various financial publications on the Internet. When Ed is not writing about stocks, investing in stocks, talking about stocks, or otherwise doing something stock related, he likes to go sailing and fishing.

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