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economic calendar Econ Calendar

High-impact events loom, starting with Friday's Trump-Putin meeting at 8:00 AM EST, amid escalating Ukraine tensions and "land swapping" talks. US Retail Sales and Michigan Consumer Sentiment, also Friday at 8:30 AM and 10:00 AM EST respectively, are key for consumption outlook. Next Wednesday, FOMC Minutes at 2:00 PM EST and the start of Jackson Hole Symposium at 8:00 PM EST will heavily influence Fed rate cut expectations, currently at 99.8% for September despite recent core CPI. Trump's pressure on Powell and BLS adds further market uncertainty. Traders should brace for significant volatility Friday around the geopolitical summit and consumer data, impacting USD and equity markets. Monitor FOMC Minutes and Jackson Hole next week for Fed's stance on rate cuts, especially given the White House's aggressive easing calls and recent jobs data.
Today - Aug 15
8:00a
Trump - Putin Meeting
8:30a
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
act
N/A
exp
0
pr
5.5
8:30a
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.3
pr
0.5
8:30a
Retail Sales Control Group
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
0.5
8:30a
Retail Sales (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.5
pr
0.6
9:15a
Industrial Production (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0
pr
0.3
10:00a
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
3.4
10:00a
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
act
N/A
exp
62
pr
61.7
10:00a
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
4.5
10:00a
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
57.7
Mon - Aug 18
No events
Tue - Aug 19
8:30a
Housing Starts (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
1.32M
8:30a
Building Permits (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
1.4M
Wed - Aug 20
2:00p
FOMC Minutes
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
N/A
3:00p
Fed's Bostic speech
8:00p
Jackson Hole Symposium
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
N/A
Thu - Aug 21
8:30a
Initial Jobless Claims
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
N/A
8:30a
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
15.9
9:45a
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
49.8
9:45a
S&P Global Services PMI
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
55.7
9:45a
S&P Global Composite PMI
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
55.1
10:00a
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
-2.7

Upcoming Earnings

Next Tuesday sees major reports from Home Depot Inc. and Medtronic plc. pre-market, alongside a cluster of consumer discretionary firms. Next Wednesday is busy with TJX Companies Inc., Lowe's Companies Inc., and Analog Devices Inc. leading a wave of retail and technology earnings. The week concludes with Walmart Inc. pre-market and software heavyweights Intuit Inc. and Workday Inc. after close on Next Thursday.
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Analyst Updates

Insurance leads the charge with multiple stocks (AJG, AON, HIG) recently rated strong buy, notably on Tuesday. Technology also gains traction with ARM and ESTC receiving strong buys. Major upgrades for SBUX and CMI suggest broad market optimism. However, the AI sector faces headwinds with AI downgraded to strong sell.
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