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economic calendar Econ Calendar

High-impact CPI data is due Tuesday, August 12, at 8:30 AM EST, crucial for Fed rate path amidst rising inflation expectations and tariff impacts. Producer Price Index and Initial Jobless Claims follow Thursday, August 14, at 8:30 AM EST, impacting inflation and labor market views after recent weak jobs data. Friday, August 15, brings high-volatility Retail Sales at 8:30 AM EST, indicating consumer strength. Fed speeches throughout the week offer further policy clues, with markets keenly watching for dovish shifts and political pressures. Traders should brace for significant volatility around Tuesday's CPI release, potentially dictating short-term Fed expectations and dollar movements. Strong retail sales on Friday could reinforce hawkish sentiment, while weak data might signal economic slowdown and increased recession risks. Position carefully, especially in interest-rate sensitive assets.
Today - Aug 11
No events
Tue - Aug 12
8:30a
Consumer Price Index (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.2
pr
0.3
8:30a
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.3
pr
0.2
8:30a
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
act
N/A
exp
2.8
pr
2.7
8:30a
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)
act
N/A
exp
3
pr
2.9
10:00a
Fed's Barkin speech
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks to the Management Academy in Illinois, United States.
10:30a
Fed's Schmid speech
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeffrey Schmid delivers a speech on Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook in Oklahoma, United States.
2:00p
Monthly Budget Statement
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
27B
Wed - Aug 13
1:00p
Fed's Goolsbee speech
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee participates in a moderated Q&A session about monetary policy at a luncheon in IIIinois, United States.
1:30p
Fed's Bostic speech
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic participates in a moderated discussion about the US economic outlook at a luncheon in Alabama, United States.
Thu - Aug 14
8:30a
Producer Price Index (YoY)
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
2.3
8:30a
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.2
pr
0
8:30a
Producer Price Index (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.2
pr
0
8:30a
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
2.6
8:30a
Initial Jobless Claims
act
N/A
exp
227K
pr
226K
2:00p
Fed's Barkin speech
Fri - Aug 15
8:30a
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
act
N/A
exp
-1
pr
5.5
8:30a
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.2
pr
0.5
8:30a
Retail Sales Control Group
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
0.5
8:30a
Retail Sales (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
0.5
pr
0.6
9:15a
Industrial Production (MoM)
act
N/A
exp
-0.2
pr
0.3
10:00a
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
3.4
10:00a
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
act
N/A
exp
62.1
pr
61.7
10:00a
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
4.5
10:00a
Michigan Consumer Expectations Index
act
N/A
exp
N/A
pr
57.7

Upcoming Earnings

Major industrial and semiconductor players lead the earnings week, with Deere & Company reporting pre-market Thursday and Applied Materials Inc. after close. Cisco Systems Inc. highlights Wednesday's after-close reports. Monday and Tuesday see a high density of reports, including several biotech and technology companies, while Thursday features multiple e-commerce and internet services firms.
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Analyst Updates

Biotechnology and Pharmaceuticals lead with recent strong buy ratings for ABBV (AbbVie Inc.), VRTX (Vertex Pharmaceuticals), and INCY (Incyte Corporation) in the past two days. Consumer retail also sees positive analyst sentiment with strong buys for WMT (Walmart Inc.) and SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.). Conversely, several large-cap biotech names like LLY (Eli Lilly and Company), BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company), and NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) faced downgrades to Hold, signaling caution in some growth areas.
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