Stock Market Today: Investors Await Key Inflation Data Amid Market Volatility

As of Friday, December 20, 2024, the stock market is experiencing heightened volatility, with investors closely watching for the release of crucial inflation data. This article provides an in-depth look at the current market conditions, upcoming events, and major stock news that are shaping today’s trading landscape.

Market Indexes: A Mixed Picture

The major U.S. stock market indexes are showing a mixed performance as we head into the trading day:

Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI): Futures are down about 0.4%, or 183 points, following a narrow gain yesterday that ended a 10-day losing streak – the longest since 1974.
S&P 500 (^GSPC): Futures have shed around 0.8%, continuing the downward trend seen this week.
Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC): Futures are experiencing the steepest decline, dropping 1.4% as tech stocks face increased pressure.

This week has been particularly challenging for the markets, with the Dow down 3.4%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are each off by approximately 3%, marking their worst weekly performances since March 2023.

Key Event: PCE Price Index Release

Why is the market up today? The answer may lie in the upcoming release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index – the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric. Scheduled for release this morning, this data point has taken on heightened significance following the Fed’s recent hawkish stance on interest rates.

Analysts polled by Dow Jones expect the PCE price index to show:
– A 0.2% increase month-over-month
– An annual reading of 2.5%
– Core inflation (excluding food and energy) rising 0.2% monthly and 2.9% annually

These figures will be crucial in determining the market’s direction, as they directly influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions.

Major Stock News

Several high-profile stocks are making headlines in today’s market news today:

1. Tesla (TSLA): Down 5% in premarket trading, despite being a big winner in 2024.
2. Nvidia (NVDA): Falling 3%, impacting the broader tech sector.
3. Micron Technology (MU): Plummeted 16.18% following mixed quarterly results and a disappointing outlook.
4. Darden Restaurants (DRI): A bright spot, surging 14.74% after positive earnings.
5. Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Dell (DELL): Both showing weakness in premarket trading.

Upcoming Market Events

Investors should keep an eye on these upcoming events that could impact the stock market today:

1. Government Shutdown Threat: A Trump-endorsed House Republican measure to fund the government for three months failed Thursday night, raising concerns about a potential partial government shutdown starting Friday night.

2. University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index: This report, due later today, will provide insights into consumer confidence, a key driver of economic activity.

3. Earnings Reports: While not explicitly mentioned in the search results, keep an eye out for any major companies releasing earnings reports, as these can significantly impact individual stocks and broader market sentiment.

Market Outlook

Despite the current volatility, some analysts remain optimistic about the market’s long-term prospects. Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, maintains a positive outlook:

“We continue to foresee a strong economy heading into 2025 – we maintain our outlook for earnings growth and an S&P 500 Index target range of 6500-6700,” Christopher stated.

However, investors should remain cautious given the recent market turbulence and the potential for a government shutdown. The PCE price index release today could be a pivotal moment in determining the market’s direction as we close out 2024 and look ahead to 2025.

In conclusion, as we navigate through this period of uncertainty, staying informed about market news today and keeping a close eye on key economic indicators will be crucial for investors looking to understand why is the market up today or down, and how to position their portfolios for the future.

Ed Liston

Ed Liston is a senior contributing editor at TheStockMarketWatch.com. An active market watcher and investor, Ed guides an independent team of experienced analysts and writes for multiple stock trader publications. He is widely quoted in various financial publications on the Internet. When Ed is not writing about stocks, investing in stocks, talking about stocks, or otherwise doing something stock related, he likes to go sailing and fishing.

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