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U.S. Economic Calendar Event Update - Mar 14

Thursday, March 14, 2013 7:48 AM

These are the U.S. economic calendar events for Thursday, March 14, 2013. All times are EST.

Continuing Claims for the week ending on 03/02 are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM. Analysts are estimating a result of 3103K. The prior period for Continuing Claims had a result of 3094K. This event has a moderate effect on US markets.

Initial Claims for the week ending on 03/09 are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM. Analysts are estimating a result of 350K. The prior period for Initial Claims had a result of 340K. This event has a moderate effect on US markets.

PPI for Feb are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM. Analysts are estimating a result of 0.6%. The prior period for PPI had a result of 0.2%. This event has a major effect on US markets.

Current Account Balance for Q4 are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM. Analysts are estimating a result of $-112.3B. The prior period for Current Account Balance had a result of $-107.5B. This event has a low effect on US markets.

Core PPI for Feb are scheduled to be released at 8:30 AM. Analysts are estimating a result of 0.2%. The prior period for Core PPI had a result of 0.2%. This event has a moderate effect on US markets.

At the release of important events, US equity markets (INDEXSP:.INX) can make major moves. Be sure to keep an eye on S&P (NYSEARCA:SPY), Nasdaq (NYSEARCA:QQQ) and Dow Jones (NYSEARCA:DIA) at the time of announcements.

Here is some more information about the events discussion in this article.

Continuing Claims: An indicator derived from weekly unemployment data used to gauge the current state and direction of employment. The data, supplied by the Department of Labor, consists of those people who have filed a claim and who are still receiving benefits. Critics point to the volatility of the data which makes it somewhat imprecise as a snapshot of employment conditions. When combined with other indicators onto a four-week moving average, it provides a clearer indication. Read more: http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/continuing-An indicator derived from weekly unemployment data used to gauge the current state and direction of employment. The data, supplied by the Department of Labor, consists of those people who have filed a claim and who are still receiving benefits. Critics point to the volatility of the data which makes it somewhat imprecise as a snapshot of employment conditions. When combined with other indicators onto a four-week moving average, it provides a clearer indication.

Initial Claims: Initial jobless claims measure the number of filings for state jobless benefits. This report provides a timely, but often misleading, indicator of the direction of the economy, with increases (decreases) in claims potential signalling slowing (accelerating) job growth. On a week-to-week basis, claims are quite volatile, and many analysts therefore track a four week moving average to get a better sense of the underlying trend. It typically takes a sustained move of at least 30K in claims to signal a meaningful change in job growth. There are two other statistics in this report -- the number of people receiving state benefits and the insured unemployment rate; neither is watched closely by the market. Some analysts track the number of people receiving state benefits from month to month as a guide for job growth, though this series has a poor track record in predicting the monthly employment report. The insured unemployment rate changes little on a weekly basis and is never a factor for the market.

PPI: The Producer Price Index measures prices of goods at the wholesale level. There are three broad subcategories within PPI: crude, intermediate, and finished. The market tracks the finished goods index most closely, as it represents prices for goods that are ready for sale to the end user. Goods prices at the crude and intermediate stages of production often provide an indication of coming (dis)inflationary pressures, but the closer you get to crude goods, the more that these prices track commodity prices which are already available in traded indexes such as the CRB (Commodity Research Bureau). At all stages of production, the market places more emphasis on the index excluding food and energy, referred to as the core rate. Food and energy prices tend to be quite volatile and obscure trends in the underlying inflation rate. Though the market reaction is determined by the month/month changes, year/year changes are also noted by analysts. The index is not revised on a monthly basis, but annual revisions to seasonal adjustment factors can produce small adjustments to past releases.

Current Account Balance: The Current Account Balance Summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the US . The report acts as a line-item record of how the US economy interacts with the world economy. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services.

Core PPI: The Producer Price Index measures prices of goods at the wholesale level. There are three broad subcategories within PPI: crude, intermediate, and finished. The market tracks the finished goods index most closely, as it represents prices for goods that are ready for sale to the end user. Goods prices at the crude and intermediate stages of production often provide an indication of coming (dis)inflationary pressures, but the closer you get to crude goods, the more that these prices track commodity prices which are already available in traded indexes such as the CRB (Commodity Research Bureau). At all stages of production, the market places more emphasis on the index excluding food and energy, referred to as the core rate. Food and energy prices tend to be quite volatile and obscure trends in the underlying inflation rate. Though the market reaction is determined by the month/month changes, year/year changes are also noted by analysts. The index is not revised on a monthly basis, but annual revisions to seasonal adjustment factors can produce small adjustments to past releases.

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